Rupee falls 10 paise to close at all-time low of 92.40 against US dollar
The rupee weakened by 10 paise to settle at a fresh record low of 92.40 (provisional) against the US dollar on Monday amid surging crude oil prices and incessant withdrawal of foreign funds triggered by geopolitical uncertainties.The local currency, however, resisted a sharp fall backed by a significant recovery in domestic equity markets amid hopes of the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, according to forex traders.
At the interbank foreign exchange, the local unit opened at 92.44 and touched its lowest-ever intra-day level of 92.47 against the greenback during the session. The local unit ended the session at 92.40 (provisional) against the dollar, registering a loss of 10 paise from its previous close.
In the preceding session, the rupee hit its lowest intra-day level of 92.47 before ending at 92.30 against the dollar, its lowest-ever closing level until Friday.Anuj Choudhary, Research Analyst at Mirae Asset Sharekhan, said that some softness in the US dollar index and hopes of the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz cushioned the downside.
According to Jigar Trivedi, Senior Research Analyst at Indusind Securities, the rupee hovered near record lows, pressured by elevated crude prices and sustained foreign equity outflows.
“Persistently high oil prices are forcing importers to purchase more dollars, widening India’s trade deficit and creating a material terms-of-trade shock,” he said, adding, “The Reserve Bank of India has intervened in FX markets to stabilise the currency and prevent excessive volatility.Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback’s strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading 0.13 per cent lower at 99.97. Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, was trading higher by 1.46 per cent at $104.69 per barrel in futures trade.
On the domestic equity market front, the Sensex surged 938.93 points, or 1.26 per cent, to settle at 75,502.85, while the Nifty climbed 257.70 points, or 1.11 per cent, to 23,408.80.The latest government data released on Monday showed the country’s trade deficit narrowed to $27.1 billion in February compared to January.
Merchandise exports dropped marginally by 0.81 per cent to $36.61 billion, while imports increased by 24.11 per cent to $63.71 billion in February this year from $51.33 billion recorded a year ago.Foreign institutional investors sold equities worth INR 10,716.64 crore on a net basis on Friday, according to exchange data.
“Traders may take cues from the Empire State manufacturing index and industrial production data from the US. Investors will also watch out for the FOMC, ECB, Bank of Japan and Bank of England’s monetary policy this week,” Choudhary of Mirae Asset Sharekhan said, and projected the USD-INR spot price to trade in a range of Rs 92.10 to INR 92.75.
