Exit Polls 2026: Bengal Cliffhanger, Congress Edge in Kerala, Status Quo in Tamil Nadu & Assam
Exit polls for the 2026 Assembly elections across West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Assam, Kerala and Puducherry suggest a mixed political verdict, with signs of both continuity and potential shifts in power.
In West Bengal, most projections indicate a tightly contested battle between the Bharatiya Janata Party and the Trinamool Congress, with several surveys pointing to a possible hung Assembly or a narrow edge for the BJP.
Kerala appears poised for a change in government, with exit polls giving an advantage to the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF), potentially ending the Left Democratic Front’s tenure.
In Tamil Nadu, most projections suggest continuity, with the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam likely to retain power under Chief Minister M.K. Stalin. However, the emergence of actor-turned-politician Vijay’s party is seen as a disruptive factor, especially among younger voters.
Assam is expected to remain with the BJP-led alliance, with projections indicating a comfortable return to power for the incumbent government.
In Puducherry, exit polls largely predict the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) retaining control, suggesting stability in the Union Territory’s political landscape.
Overall, the exit polls highlight a diverse electoral picture across regions, with a potential change of guard in some states and continuity in others. The final results, however, will be declared on May 4 and may differ from these projections.
