Monsoon is expected to continue its revival phase next week, especially in Eastern and Central India. The overall deficit in rainfall across the country has come down to 25 per cent this week (as on Friday) further allaying apprehensions of drought in the country this year.
However, the surprise of the season this week was when in a new turn, monsoon marked its first week of surplus with a 24 per cent above average rain.As per the data of India Meteorological Department (IMD), Central India has received the highest rainfall of 138.1 mm in the country this week, which is 81 per cent above average.
According to the figures from IMD, parts of West Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, West Rajasthan, Odisha, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat region, Madhya Maharashtra, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh and South interior Karnataka received excess rainfall by 20 per cent. Out of 36 meteorological subdivisions in the country, rainfall has been scanty in barely three states including Punjab, Gujarat region and Saurashtra & Kutch.
According to weather experts from IMD, monsoon will be active over Central & Eastern India till the end of July. Rainfall is likely to increase considerably over plains of northwest India and adjoining foothills of Himalayas. Normal rainfall would also occur along west coast and below normal over some parts of northeastern States and south interior Peninsula. There would be no dry phase at least till the end of this month, in the country, predicted the IMD sources.
This is due to the influence of an upper air cyclonic circulation over northwest Bay of Bengal and its neighbouring areas. This is likely to intensify into the formation of a low pressure area during the next 48 hours. As a regions along southeastwards to east central Bay of Bengal, would particularly receive heavy rainfall.
According to the IMD data, the country as a whole has so far received, 281 mm of rain as against the average rainfall of 376 mm. The Eastern and North-eastern parts of the country has received the highest rainfall of 528.6 mm , and registering one the lowest deficit of 22%. Central India has also narrowed its deficit to the same figure with 311.3 mm of rain as against the average of 401.1 mm
The IMD experts allayed fears that the El Nino impact generated by the warming of the tropical Pacific Ocean has fortunately not yet created worries for the south-west monsoons in the country. “A general lack of atmospheric response over last month has resulted in some cooling of the tropical Pacific and averted a full-fledged El Nino effect so far,” they said.