Agenda

Unemployment in India: How it has changed overtime

Pioneer News Service

A persistent economic challenge: India’s unemployment problem is not just about the absence of jobs. It also involves underemployment, low wages, informal work and the inability to find jobs matching educational qualifications.

Official unemployment rate over time: According to the government’s PLFS, the unemployment rate among people aged 15 and above declined from 6 per cent in 2017-18 to 5.8 per cent in 2018-19, 4.8 per cent in 2019-20, 4.2 per cent in 2020-21, 4.1 per cent in 2021-22, 3.2 per cent in 2022-23 and 3.2 per cent in 2023-24. The latest annual report puts it at 3.1 per cent in 2025. These figures use the usual status measure.

Long-term trend: India’s unemployment rate has fluctuated over the decades. Official estimates based on the Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS) show a decline in the headline unemployment rate in recent years, but the quality and security of employment remain major concerns.

A rise in employment, but what kind? Government estimates based on the RBI’s KLEMS database put total employment at 64.33 crore in 2023-24, up from 47.15 crore in 2014-15. However, employment numbers alone do not establish how many new jobs are secure, adequately paid or commensurate with workers’ skills.

The pandemic shock: The COVID-19 lockdown in 2020 caused widespread job losses, particularly among informal workers, migrant labourers, small businesses and daily-wage earners. Many workers subsequently returned to employment, often in informal or self-employed activities.

The official rate does not tell the whole story: Unemployment statistics count people without work who are seeking and available for work. They do not fully capture discouraged jobseekers, involuntary part-time work, disguised unemployment in agriculture or people earning too little from irregular work.

Consequently, a low unemployment rate does not necessarily mean that enough productive, decent-paying jobs exist.

The pandemic’s impact: The 2020 lockdown disrupted livelihoods on a massive scale, particularly for migrant workers, daily-wage earners and small businesses. The subsequent fall in the annual unemployment rate suggests a recovery in employment, but it does not by itself measure the loss of income or the quality of work people returned to.

The central challenge: India must generate employment at a scale and quality that matches its large working-age population. Labour-intensive manufacturing, MSMEs, tourism, construction and modern services can contribute, provided economic growth translates into stable jobs and rising wages.

Important statistical distinction: The 2025 PLFS introduced a revamped survey system, including more frequent monthly reporting. Its monthly current weekly status unemployment figures should not be directly compared with the annual usual status series.

Youth unemployment

Young people aged 15-29 face a much tougher job market. Their official unemployment rate fell from 17.8 per cent in 2017-18 to 10.2 per cent in 2023-24 and 9.9 per cent in 2025. Urban youth unemployment remained considerably higher, at 13.6 per cent in 2025.

Educated unemployment

In 2023–24, unemployment among people aged 15 and above with secondary education or higher was 7.1 per cent, more than twice the overall rate of 3.2 per cent. This points to a persistent mismatch between educational qualifications and available jobs.

Women and Employment

Women’s labour-force participation has increased, but access to stable, well-paid jobs remains a concern. In 2023–24, the female worker-population ratio for those aged 15 and above was 40.3 per cent, compared with 76.3 per cent for men.