Britain’s more than 300-year-old union with Scotland may survive Thursday’s historical referendum by a narrow margin, a new survey showed. Supporters of a united UK were maintaining a narrow but steady lead of four points; 52 per cent to 48 per cent, over the supporters of Scottish independence, YouGov’s final pre-election survey for The Times and Sun newspaper showed.
However, the race was still too tight for YouGov’s analysts to be confident in calling it. Instead, the polling company only predicted an 80 per cent probability that the UK will hold together – giving a breakaway Scotland a 20 per cent chance.