May is bringing cautious reopenings from coronavirus lockdowns, from Beijing’s Forbidden city to shopping malls in Texas, as the grim economic toll from the pandemic ticks higher.
Many communities around the world are inching toward normalcy without certainty over whether they’ve vanquished outbreaks of the virus. But bleak new figures released Thursday underscored the pain inflicted by the disease and added to pressure on leaders to end shutdowns.
The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits surpassed a staggering 30 million and the European economy shrank a record 3.8% in the first quarter as hotels, restaurants, construction sites and manufacturing were frozen by lockdowns.
As bad as those and other numbers are, some are outdated because of the lag in gathering data so the true situation is almost certainly much worse.
Still, analysts saw a glimmer of hope in the way new unemployment claims have fallen for four straight weeks. Andrew Stettner, a senior fellow at the Century Foundation, said the wave of layoffs at vulnerable businesses such as restaurants, hotels and stores may have largely run its course.
Layoffs amount to 1 in 6 American workers and encompass more people than the entire population of Texas. Some economists say the US unemployment rate for April may be as high as 20% - a figure not seen since the Depression of the 1930s, when joblessness peaked at 25%.
China’s ancient, majestic Forbidden City reopened on Friday with all tickets for the May 1-5 holiday period sold out, and a limit of 5,000 visitors a day, down from the earlier maximum of 80,000.
The Chinese capital reopened its parks and museums, with controlled entries, about three months after hundreds of millions of people were ordered into a near lockdown as the coronavirus outbreak erupted in the central city of Wuhan. China on Friday reported 12 new cases, six of them brought from overseas, and no new deaths for the 16th day.
In the US, where large numbers of people are still dying from Covid-19, health officials are warning of the danger of a second wave of infection, and some employers and employees have expressed fear of going back to work.
In some states, authorities are adopting a more cautious stance: California Governor Gavin Newsom ordered beaches in Orange County closed until further notice after tens of thousands of people flocked to the sand last weekend.
In other parts of the world, shutdowns are winding down, with caution.
Malaysia’s Prime Minister Muhyiddin Yassin said most business activities will reopen from Monday, days before a two-month lockdown is due to end, after infections fell sharply in recent weeks.
Thailand was preparing to reopen parks and some retailers, hair salons and restaurants, while keeping a 10 pm-4 am curfew in place and extending its ban on sales of alcohol.
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, who recently recovered from Covid-19, said the UK is “past the peak” and “on a downward slope” in its outbreak but was expected to extend precautions, while Germany, Portugal and the Czech Republic were set to start loosening their restrictions.
With signs that the outbreak has stabilised in places, and after news that the economy shrank at a 4.8% annual rate in the first three months of the year with a crushing 40% drop projected for this quarter, President Donald Trump chose not to extend the White House’s social-distancing guidelines past their expiration on Thursday.
Those guidelines encouraged people to work from home and avoid restaurants, groups and nonessential travel. The virus has killed over 2,30,000 people worldwide, including more than 61,000 in the US, according to a tally by Johns Hopkins University. Confirmed infections globally topped 3.2 million, with 1 million of them in the US, but the true numbers are believed to be much higher because of limited testing, differences in counting the dead and concealment by some governments.