Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton has a “very good” chance of winning against Republican rival Donald Trump if she is able to win Florida and one of other three biggest swing states of North Carolina, Ohio and Pennsylvania, an election expert has said.
In a teleconference call hosted by New York Foreign Press Center, Quinnipiac Polling Institute’s Assistant Director Peter Brown said “it’s a pretty fair consensus” of various election polls that Clinton has a “small lead” over Trump of three-five points nationally.
Brown said the four biggest swing states are Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Pennsylvania.
In Florida, Clinton has a 5-point lead over Trump, while in Ohio, Trump had a 5-point lead. In Pennsylvania, Clinton had a 4-point lead and in North Carolina, a 3-point lead.
With the two presidential nominees heading into the second crucial debate, the 68-year-old former secretary of state is slightly ahead but not gigantically ahead, he said.
Brown, however, said if Clinton could win Florida and one of the other three swing states, “the chances are very, very good she’ll win the presidency. It’s not 100 per cent locked, but it’s very good.”
On how the debates affect the presidential race, Brown said that following the first debate there seemed to be unanimous sense among the media and pundits that Clinton had won the debate easily.
Brown outlined that the Clinton campaign is basing its efforts on trying to convince average voters that Trump is not fit to be president.
Trump, on the other hand, is running on the themes that “Clinton is a crook” and there is enormous sense of support in the US for change.