Five years in the making, Floyd Mayweather Jr. and Manny Pacquiao meet Saturday night in the richest — and arguably most overhyped — fight in the history of the sport. Their styles have been analyzed endlessly and their minds dissected as much as possible. And it still remains anyone’s guess just what kind of fight this will be.
Will Pacquiao score early and often to beat a fighter who has never been beatenIJ Will Mayweather risk standing and trading punches, or be content to use his defensive wizardry to win for the 48th straight timeIJ Will boxing get the fight the hype deserves, and the sport desperately needsIJ The fight is for the welterweight championship of the world, but in reality it’s much more. Mayweather will be risking his legacy against arguably the best opponent of his career, while Pacquiao will carry the weight of an entire nation into the ring. “Everyone talks about the money, the money, the money,” Mayweather said. “I want the fight to live up to its magnitude. That’s what it’s really about.”
Whether Mayweather actually believes that or is trying to sell pay-per-views — at a record price of $99.95 — won’t be known until after the two men enter the ring sometime after 8 p.m. PDT. In past fights he’s worried more about protecting his unblemished record than he has pleasing the fans who pay to watch.
But he has clearly bulked up for this fight, returning to some old ways by chopping up tree trunks to gain muscle. He’s going to be the bigger fighter in the ring, and he’s going to have a chance to impose his will on Pacquiao if needed.
“Floyd Mayweather is going to try and take Manny Pacquiao’s head off,” said Mayweather’s promoter, leonard Ellerbe. “You can count on that happening. He’ll do it in a manner where he follows a game plan, but Floyd Mayweather is looking to finish him off and I strongly believe that will happen.” Oddsmakers don’t believe, making it a 3-1 favorite that the fight will go at least until late in the 12th round. The argument can be made that Mayweather hasn’t legitimately knocked out an opponent since he stopped Ricky Hatton in 2007, and feels no pressure to do so with Pacquiao despite a payday that will likely be at least $180 million.
“I truly believe I’m the smarter fighter,” Mayweather said. “He would be a better fighter if he wasn’t so reckless. It’s a gift and it’s a curse. He’s won a lot of fights by being reckless, but you can be reckless and get knocked out. And getting knocked out in a harsh way can affect you in the long run.” Pacquiao, of course, has been knocked out, in the harshest of ways. He was on the attack in the sixth round of his December 2012 fight with Juan Manuel Marquez when a right hand from Marquez left him face down and unconscious on the canvas. To beat Mayweather, though, Pacquiao will have to risk getting hit. More importantly, he’ll have to figure out how to get to Mayweather without taking big damage in return.
For the first time in his career, Pacquiao studied video — and a lot of it — of an opponent. He and Roach spent hours trying to figure out how Mayweather sets traps for his opponent, then lures them in to get hit. They’re prepared for that, but they’re also prepared if Mayweather becomes a different fighter in the biggest night of his career.
“I get the feeling they might start fast because he’s put a lot of muscle on,” Roach said. “I think he might try and catch us cold, but that won’t happen. But I think he will come out and try to fight us.” If that happens, it might be because the fight took so long to make. Neither fighter has the same speed or reflexes they had five years ago, which some believe may play into Pacquiao’s hands because Mayweather doesn’t have the legs at the age of 38 to move around the ring for 12 rounds.
Chance of a rematchIJ
The ink was barely dry on the contracts signed by Floyd Mayweather Jr. and Manny Pacquiao when the question first came up. What’s to prevent the two best fighters in the world from doing it againIJ Plenty, though the amount of money put on a draw in this city’s legal sports books is proof that conspiracy theorists are alive and well in boxing. A draw would almost guarantee a rematch in any other big fight, though this one would be far more complicated.
Putting together the richest fight ever took five years and still wouldn’t have happened except for a chance meeting at a Miami Heat basketball game and an intervention by CBS head honcho les Moonves. Doing a rematch could be just as difficult, if even more. “A rematch is so down the road,” Pacquiao promoter Bob Arum said. “And the idea I’d have to deal with these people again is one I don’t want to think about.”
The Mayweather camp demanded that there would be no rematch clause in the contract for this fight, and with the battles both sides fought over tickets and other details, there is little appetite — at least now — to do it again. That could change if Saturday night’s bout offers compelling action, or if Mayweather suffers the first loss of his career. That’s the scenario heavyweight title holder Deontay Wilder came up with when he envisioned how the fight would go.
“If this fight becomes a close fight, a good fight, I think the decision will go to Manny,” Wilder said. “You’ve got to keep in mind that the rematch is more hella money. They’re making money now, but the rematch is more money, or even a draw of a good fight is more money.” Boxing history is littered with rematches, some more successful than others. What they generally have in common, though, is that the first fight was good enough to keep fans wanting more.