BJP will cross 200, Congress will fall to 89
The BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is projected to win 227 seats in the forthcoming lok Sabha elections, 45 short of the magic mark of 272 in a House of 543. The Congress-led UPA is projected to win a mere 101 seats, according to the latest Times Now-C Voter survey conducted this month.
Narendra Modi-led BJP is projected to raise its tally from 116 seats in 2009 to 202, while the Congress tally is expected to drop steeply from 206 in 2009 polls to 89 this time, says the survey.
The survey on preferred alliance for the next Government shows that 47.2 per cent opted for the NDA, 35.1 per cent preferred the UPA and only 3.7 per cent opted for the nascent Third Front, with the remaining unclear.
like other surveys in the recent past, Modi is again the preferred choice for the Prime Minister’s post, with 59.1 per cent favouring him against 26.7 per cent favouring Congress vice-president Rahul Gandhi.
Interestingly, the survey gives seven seats to the AAP, three from Delhi and one each from Haryana, Maharashtra, Karnataka and one Union Territory.
According to the survey, the NDA’s projected tally shows the following break-up: BJP 202, Shiv Sena 15, Akali Dal 5, RPI (Athawale) 2, Swabhimani Paksha 1, NPP 1, Haryana Janhit Congress 1.
Whereas ruling UPA’s projected tally in the survey puts Congress at 89, NCP 5, RlD 1, JMM 2, IUMl 2, National Conference 1, Kerala Congress (Mani) 1. Others (parties which are either part of Third Front or outside and independents) are projected to get 215 seats, with the AIADMK taking the lion’s share of 27 seats.
BJP is also going to make a big comeback in Uttar Pradesh with a projected win of 34 seats (up from 10 in 2009), followed by BSP 21, SP 20, Congress 4 and Ajit Singh’s RlD’s one. BJP and RJD are going to upstage Nitish Kumar’s JD-U in Bihar with BJP and RJD projected to win 21 and 12 seats respectively relegating JD-U to only five seats.
The break-up for Others: AAP 7, SP 20 (down from 23), left Front 27, AIADMK 27, BSP 21, Trinamool Congress 24 (down from 19), RJD 12 (up from 4), BJD 12 (down from 14), YSR Congress 13, TRS 10 (up from 2), JD(U) 5 (down from 20), TDP 10 (up from 6), DMK 5 (down from 18), Jharkhand Vikas Morcha 2, Janata Dal-S 2, Asom Gana Parishad 0, MNS 1, Indian National lok Dal 1, lJP 1, MDMK 1, PDP 2, AUDF
1, Bodoland People’s Front 1, Nationalist People’s Front 1, Sikkim Democratic Front 1, Majlis Ittehadul Muslimeen 1, Independent 1 making a total of 215.