Poll Tracker survey indicates DMK likely to win 172-178 seats

The DMK-led alliance is projected to retain power with a sweeping majority in the upcoming Tamil Nadu Assembly elections, according to a survey released by Poll Tracker on Thursday.

The survey predicts a clear edge for the front, forecasting it to secure between 172 and 178 seats in the 234-member house.

The primary Opposition, led by the AIADMK, is projected to lag significantly with 46 to 52 seats.

The DMK-led bloc is expected to garner 42.7 per cent of the total votes. The newly formed Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), led by actor-politician Vijay, is projected to make a notable debut with a 19.2 per cent vote share, translating to 6 to 12 seats. Meanwhile, the NTK is expected to secure between 0 and 2 seats with 5.1 per cent of the vote share.

The poll analysis indicates that the alliance between the AIADMK and the BJP has contributed to a consolidation of minority votes against the AIADMK-led front. It further notes that multiple communities, including the Mudaliar, Naidu, and Muslim communities, are broadly inclined toward the DMK alliance.

Poll Tracker is an election analytics platform that provides longitudinal data through a tracking methodology to monitor shifts in public sentiment over time.