The southwest monsoon, which weakened after remaining active during the first half of June, is expected to revive in the next five-six days.
“The further advance of the southwest monsoon has weakened. It was very active until June 15, but there is a lull now. However, it expected to revive in the next five-six days,” IMD Additional Director-General Mritunjay Mohapatra said.
The northern limit of the monsoon continues to pass through Thane (including Mumbai), Ahmednagar, Buldhana, Amravati, Gondia, Titlagarh, Cuttack, Midnapore, Goalpara and Baghdogra.
The IMD, however, said that probability for genesis of a monsoon depression is low during the next two weeks. It, however, did not seem to rule out a rudimentary low-pressure area.
The ensemble model of the US National Centres for Environmental Prediction has retained the outlook for a circulation developing off the Odisha coast between June 25 to 29.
The southwest monsoon arrived in Kerala on June 29, three days ahead of its normal onset and, over the past a few days, it has battered parts of the western coast and the northeast. Mohapatra said Odisha and other parts of east India would start receiving “good” rainfall from June 23-24 while Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Karnataka and other parts of the southern peninsula from June 26.
For Monday, the IMD has predicted “heavy to very heavy rain” at a few places in Konkan, Goa and coastal Karnataka and heavy rain in parts of the sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, central Maharashtra and Kerala.
“Thunderstorm accompanied with squall are very likely at isolated places over Punjab while thunderstorm accompanied with gusty winds and lightning are very likely at isolated places over Jammu & Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi and Marathawada,” the IMD said.