Congress to pay heavily for T gamble
Pioneer News Service n New Delhi
Congress’ Telangana gamble seems to have fallen flat. A survey by Times Now and C Voter has predicted big gains for the Telanaga Rashtra Samiti of K Chandrasekhar Rao and YSR Congress of Jagan Mohan Reddy at the cost of the Congress.
The survey suggests Congress individual tally of 33 out of total 42 seats in the last national poll would come down to a meager seven seats. This figure is without an alliance between the Congress and the TRS.
There is a marginal gain of two seats for the Telugu Desam Party, which has of late taken a strong “united” Andhra Pradesh position. As against its tally of six seats in last elections, TDP may get eight seats this time.
The TDP is getting a tough competition from the YSR Congress. The party did not exist during 2009 election, but it seems to be hurting the Congress most in less than two years of coming into existence.
The survey claims Jagan’s party would get 13 out of 42 seats and apparently most of these seats are from the Rayalaseema and Coastal Andhra region. Jagan has also taken a stand in favour of united State.
In Telangana region, the Telangana Rashtra Samiti seems to be getting most of the seats. The survey gives 13 seats to the TRS. The AIMIM retains one seats, while BJP fails to open its account.
BSY absence to dent BJP in Karnataka
Pioneer News Service n
New Delhi
Former Karnataka Chief Minister BS Yeddyurappa’s absence continues to haunt the BJP in the State, but the party seems to be recovering ground in the Southern State. Having lost to Congress in the Assembly election; the BJP is taking a hit in the national poll as well, but not in a big way.
The BJP won 19 seats in 2009 and its tally will come down to 12 in the next election, a survey by Times Now and C Voter claims. The Congress will, however, make big gain by more than doubling its figure.
As against six seats in 2009, the Congress is expected to get 13 seats this time. This means the BJP loss is Congress’ gain, entirely as the Janata Dal (Secular) repeats its performance of winning three seats.
BSP making comeback in Uttar Pradesh
PNS n New Delhi
The Bahujan Samaj Party seems to be making a comeback in Uttar Pradesh, where the ruling Samajwadi Party is dealing with a serious law and order situation. A survey commissioned by Times Now- C Voter also suggests an increase in BJP’s tally, but not up to the expectation of the party.
However, the survey indicates, the Congress that surprised everybody with an impressive electoral performance in 2009 will suffer a major setback.
The BSP which got 20 lok Sabha seats in 2009 is expected to get 31 seats if the current trend continues till the next elections are held in 2014. Similarly, the Samajwadi Party will increase its tally from 23 seats in 2009 to 25 seats in the 2014 election. The BJP also registers an increase of seven seats and it tally is 2009 figure of 10 seats goes up to 17 seats if elections were to be held today.
However, this figure is quite short of BJP’s expectation of getting around 40 seats after Narendra Modi’s projections as the PM candidate of the party.
The Congress seems to be the worst sufferer. Its 2009 tally of 21 seats will come down to 5 seats in the next elections, claims the survey. the Rashtriya lok Dal, which fought 2009 election with the BJP and is now an ally of the Congress, will also suffer a loss.
From 5 seats in 2009, the RlD is expected to come down to 2 seats in the next elections. The losses of the Congress and the RlD will be shared between the SP, BSP and BJP.
JD(U) to come down from 20 to nine seats
PNS n New Delhi
The JD(U) seems to be paying heavily for Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar’s decision to part ways with the BJP. There are also signals about revival of the Rashtriya Janat Dal (RJD) of lalu Prasad, who has been recently convicted in a fodder scam.
The Times Now-C Voter survey for national elections suggested JD(U)’s tally will come down from 20 lok Sabhs seats in the last elections to 9 seats in the 2014 polls. The survey also suggests a marginal increase for the BJP, which gets 14 seats as against its previous tally of 12 seats.
While the JD(U) is clearly paying for ending the alliance with the BJP, the latter seems to gain from Narendra Modi’s popularity. But the big news is revival of lalu Prasad, whose RJD is expected to make major gains.
The RJD won four seats in 2009 and it is expected to get 14 seats this time. This news could provide a relief to the RJD, which is facing a leadership crisis in the absence of its founded lalu Prasad.
Congress also seems to have failed in make inroads in Bihar and it is expected to get just one seat, as against two seats in the last election. The lJP will manage to open account this time.
Siva Sena-BJP set to gain in Maharashtra
PNS n New Delhi
Maharashtra is likely to spring a big surprise in the next lok Sabha polls. The Shiv Sena-BJP alliance is all set to perform impressively. The alliance seems to be benefiting from inclusion of RPI under its umbrella.
The Times Now-C Voter survey for Maharashtra suggests all these three parties will improve their personal tally at the cost of the Congress and the Nationalist Congress Party.
The Shiv Sena is expected to get 14 seats in the next elections as against 11 seats in 2009, the BJP c an increase its tally from 9 to 13 seats while the RPI may get two seats. With this, these three parties are expected to share amongst themselves 29 out of total 48 seats in Maharashtra.
Congress tally is likely to come down from 17 seats to 11 seats while the NCP also suffers a loss of 2 seats. As against its 2009 performance of 8 seats, the NCP is likely to get 6 seats this time. Two regional outfits and independent gets one seats each.