The current meteorological analysis and the Numerical Weather Prediction models reveal that the western end of monsoon trough is likely to shift northwards along the foothills of western Himalayas from its current normal position while the eastern end of the monsoon trough is likely to remain stagnant in its normal position over Bay of Bengal till August 10 2017. Further, the strong south westerly wind flowing from Arabian Sea is likely to increase the moisture over the foothills of the western Himalayas.