Revenues of the Indian auto industry can rise 5-fold to hit the $300 billion mark, and volumes can log in over 3-fold increase to around 76 million units by 2026, according to a report.
As per the Vision 2026, prepared by ICRA Management Consulting Services (IMaCS) as an input for the Automotive Mission Plan (AMP) 2026, passenger vehicle sales will grow to 13.4 million units per annum from 3.1 million in FY14.
It said commercial vehicle sales will rise to 3.9 million units from 0.7 million in FY14; of two-wheelers, to 55.5 million units from 16.9 million, and of three wheelers to 3 million units from 0.8 million units. It is estimated that the Indian auto industry will grow to 75.8 million units by FY 2026 as compared to 21.5 million units in FY14.
“Vision 2026 will enable the Indian auto industry to contribute around 13 per cent to GDP, generation of additional 100 million jobs and attract more than USD 80 billion in investments,” it said.
According to it, vehicle export revenues are expected to touch $40 billion by 2026 from $8 billion in FY14, while the component exports are expected to rise to $74 billion over $10 billion in FY14.
As per the document, over the next 10 years there will be a shift in global trend with 75 per cent of incremental demand expected to come from BRICS and emerging economies.
It also expects the proportions of A and B segments (compact cars) to rise sharply in the next decade. It further anticipates India to be among the top three automotive markets in the world.
The document also lists various factors like creation of infrastructure, human resources and incentivisation as the enablers to achieve the targets under the Vision 2026 plan.
Further, the implementation of GST, ban on overloading in commercial vehicles and urban planning are some of the factors which would help the Indian auto industry grow in the next 10 years,