A probability of formation of a depression
(cyclogenesis) is high over the Bay of Bengal (BoB) in the next 96 to120
hours, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Tuesday.
As per the IMD, a cyclonic circulation is likely to form over the south
Andaman Sea and neighbourhood around May 4. Under its influence, a
low pressure area is likely to form over the same region around May 6.
It is likely to become more marked during the subsequent 24 hours. The
probability of cyclogenesis (formation of depression) is moderate in the
72-96 hours but high in 96-120 hours.
As per the IMD’s GFS model based on 00 UTC of May 3, the forecasted
system is likely to move towards the West Bengal-Bangladesh coast and
make landfall around May 9 to 10.
The IMD is yet to make any official forecast regarding the movement
and landfall of the system.
The system would be named as Cyclone Asani if it intensifies into a
cyclonic storm.