Contrary to the widely-voiced concerns, a report has showed that although the private sector will wait for the outcome of the forthcoming elections, 2019 may finally see the revival of investments.
Private sector investments have been picking up in sectors like chemicals and electrical equipment, coupled with an increase in capacity utilisation, says the economists at HDFC Bank, adding though these are not large capex and we are not yet there to call it as a full-blown revival.”
“As the popular narrative seems to suggest, investments are not all a government-led story anymore. Private investments are also showing signs of genuine traction, across a number of sectors like electrical equipment and chemicals,” said the report Wednesday.
The pick-up is not “full-throttle”, the report admitted, but hoped that 2019 may well be the “year of investments, finally”.
It can be noted that in the past few years, government has led in investments across sectors as private sector was largely dormant. The increase in capacity utilisation rates into the 70 percent range had increased expectations of a revival in investments, but some analysts had opined that the private sector will wait for the outcome of the elections.
The report said gross fixed capital formation, which is an indicator of total investments in the economy, grew at 12.2 percent in 2018-19 according to the first advance estimate by the CSO, and is the highest rate since the 2008 financial crisis and much higher than the average 5.4 percent achieved in the last five fiscals.
The share of private investments to nominal GDP has also increased to 12 percent in 2016-17 from 10.8 percent in 2014-15, it said.
The report also pointed out to a rise in production of capital goods, pick up in capacity utilisation which has touched 80 percent mark in some sectors and rise in credit growth to illustrate the increasing importance of private sector activity when it comes to investments.